This paper analyzes how major external shocks and policy reforms affect Bolivia’s ability to achieve pro-poor growth. Employing a recursive-dynamic CGE model, it considers three different scenarios: an optimistic baseline scenario that roughly extrapolates the situation prevailing before the...

This paper provides a computable general equilibrium analysis of the medium to long-run impact of FDI inflows on poverty and income distribution in Bolivia. The CGE analysis addresses several important transmission channels which have been neglected in the empirical literature by (i)...

Despite favourable ecological and economic results, many developing countries have not yet adopted an integrated pesticide management (IPM). Given rising marginal costs and diminishing marginal benefits from IPM technology transfer, an optimal control framework is used to identify optimal rates...

Bolivia's mid-term growth prospects are promising but these prospects could be lost, due to social unrest and political instability, if the country does not solve its short-term economic problems, resulting from both external shocks and internal factors. Against this background, this paper...

This paper investigates the effects of oil financed public investment on poverty using a dynamic multisectoral general equilibrium model featuring inter-temporal productivity spillovers, which may exhibit a sector-specific and regional bias. In general, the results bear out the expectation that...

Contemporary policy debates on the macroeconomics of resource booms often concentrate on the short-run Dutch disease effects of public expenditure ignoring the possible long-term effects of alternative revenue-allocation options and the supply-side impact of royalty-financed public investments....

This paper provides a technical description of GEM-PIA, a recursive-dynamic computable General Equilibrium Model for Poverty Impact Analysis in individual countries. The model combines the optimizing behavior of CGE models with the asset portfolio behavior of macromodels, thereby addressing the...

Kritiker der Anpassungspolitik von IWF und Weltbank halten deren Programme für nicht entwicklungsverträglich. Erstens würden die positiven Wachstumswirküngen struktureller Maßnahmen aufgrund einer zu strikten makroökonomischen Stabilisierung weitgehend ausbleiben. Zweitens würden die...

Fortschritte bei der Armutsbekämpfung sind in Bolivien seit Beginn der Reformen eher bescheiden geblieben, wenn man die erzielten Stabilisierungs- und Wachstumserfolge als Referenz zugrunde legt; sie sind sogar enttäuschend, wenn man sie an den Zielen der Armutsreduzierungsstrategie misst. Die...

Gegenwärtig ist eine exzessive Inanspruchnahme der Tropenwälder durch die Land- und Forstwirtschaft zu beobachten, die auf eine Kombination aus Marktversagen und Politikversagen zurückzuführen ist. Dadurch werden wichtige ökologische Funktionen der Tropenwälder gefährdet. So beherbergen...