non-managers' expectations and perceptions of inflation and unemployment. By and large, managers and non-managers exhibit … similar average inflation and unemployment expectations as well as similar levels of disagreement and sensitivity to …

implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …

retirement spells has been steadily increasing. We estimate the response of retirement timing to variations in unemployment rate …, inflation and housing prices. Flows into both full and partial retirement increase significantly when the unemployment rate … rises. Workers around normal retirement age are especially sensitive to variations in the unemployment rate. Workers who are …

The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …