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We compare the performance of maximum likelihood (ML) and simulated method of moments (SMM) estimation for dynamic discrete choice models. We construct and estimate a simplified dynamic structural model of education that captures some basic features of educational choices in the United States in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959620
The paper takes advantage of exceptionally rich longitudinal data on the universe of labor force participants in Slovenia and simulates the working of an income contingent loan scheme to partly recover tuition costs. The simulations show that under the base variant (where the target cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761698
This paper develops a simulation estimation algorithm that is particularly useful for estimating dynamic panel data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703001
The delta method is commonly used to calculate confidence intervals of functions of estimated parameters that are differentiable with non-zero, bounded derivatives. When the delta method is inappropriate, researchers usually first use a bootstrap procedure where they i) repeatedly take a draw...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151016
and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980268
simulation exercise is informative about the actual ranking of various estimators when applied to a particular problem. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128022
This paper studies the importance of dynamic earnings modeling for the design of income contingent student loans (ICLs). ICLs have been shown to be theoretically optimal in terms of efficiency in the presence of risk aversion, adverse selection and moral hazard, and have attractive equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123404
This research introduces an agent-based simulation model representing the dynamic processes of cooperative R&D in the … translated into simulation parameters which are calibrated to the point that the simulated artificial world are equivalent to the … one observed in the real world. The aim of the simulation game is to investigate the differences in sector responses to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884320
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a Bayesian estimation and prediction procedure that allows for the possibility of new breaks over the forecast horizon, taking account of the size and duration of past breaks (if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710
The paper contributes to the measurement of poverty and vulnerability in three ways. First, we propose a new approach to separating poverty into chronic and transient components. Second, we provide corrections for the statistical biases introduced when using a small number of periods to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763836