In this paper we analyze the state-dependent risk-spillover in different economic areas. To this end, weapply the quantile regression-based methodology developed in Adams, Füss and Gropp (2014)approach to examine the spillover in conditional tails of daily returns of indices of the banking...

Long-range persistence in volatility is widely modelled and forecasted in terms of the so-called fractional integrated models. These models are mostly applied in the univariate framework, since the extension to the multivariate context of assets portfolios, while relevant, is not...

Most downside risk models implicitly assume that returns are a sufficient statistic with which to forecast the daily conditional distribution of a portfolio. In this paper, we address this question empirically and analyze if the variables that proxy for market liquidity and trading conditions...

Nyholm (2002, 2003) [J. of Financial Research, 25, pp. 485; J. of Applied Econometrics, 18, pp. 457] has proposed a new procedure to infer the probability of informed negotiation on a trade-to-trade basis through a regime-switching model. We provide further empirical evidence about the performance...

The aim of this paper consists of describing, analysing and modelling the dynamic of dailyprice series and its volatility in the Spanish Wholesale Electricity Market. The article describes themain characteristics of the sector after the deregulation process and the factors that establish...

In 1998 the Fixing trading system was implemented in the Spanish Stock Market. It is considered an alternative to the traditional system of continuous negotiation, applicable to those stocks that have a series of basic characteristics in common. It represents an important innovation, the...

This paper analyses the nature of the weekly seasonal component in daily observations for the electricity demand series from several deregulated markets. We present and use the extension of the seasonal unit roots test of Hylleberg et al (1990) to the weekly seasonality case to formally...

In this paper we provide a new approach to the Fundamental Theorem of As-set Pricing. The proofof this result is usually based on Projection (Separation) Theorems and is far more intuitive. Ourapproach follow the relation between the projection problem an equivalent least squares problem.More...

This paper deals with analysing and forecasting intradaily volatility in electricity spot prices. We analyse the hourly spot prices from the Argentine Electricity Market by grouping prices in three daily series (block bids). We estimate the VAR model for the conditional mean structure and...

Determining the degree of informational asymmetry is a major topic in the literature of modern microstructure. In this paper, we review and analyze the suitability of the models for estimating the probability of informed trading [Easley et al., 1996; Nyholm, 2002, 2003]. The empirical analysis is...