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The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395951
In this paper we decompose the Serial Correlation Common Feature (SCCF) of Engle and Kozicki (1993) in the frequency domain. A collection of time series is said to share a common cycle if there exists a linear combination of the predicted series with a zero spectral density at some frequency....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612024
. Articles also look at the expansion of world trade, explore the impact of globalization on jobs, taxation, and the poor, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404799
Although the theoretical relationships are ambiguous, evidence suggestsa strong link between the choice of the exchange rate regime and economicperformance. The paper argues that adopting a pegged exchange rate canlead to lower inflation, but also to slower growth in productivity. Itfinds that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399171
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
After narrowing modestly in 2013, the global scale of current account imbalances, and of excess imbalances, held steady in 2014. Over the last several years, while the country composition of imbalances has rotated somewhat, overall there has been little progress on reducing excess imbalances....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408543
Capital flows are an important aspect of the international monetary system. They provide significant benefits, both direct and indirect. At the same time, they also carry risks, and a key challenge for countries is how to harness the benefits while managing the risks. The institutional view on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408595
, heightened global risk aversion, contributed to softer capital inflows and depreciation pressures in many EMs. This moderate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408606
systemic financial risk. Benefits, such as enhanced investment and consumption smoothing, tend to be greater for countries … national level, robust macroprudential policy frameworks focused on mitigating systemic risk can improve the capacity of a … and to reduce systemic financial risk stemming from such flows (CFM/MPMs), and thereby ensure the appropriate application …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408670