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International Monetary Fund - 1988

This paper analyzes the main conceptual issues that arise in assessing external sustainability with a view toward developing operational criteria for the purposes of multilateral surveillance. The main contribution of the analysis is to show how conditional forecasts of external imbalance may be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396367

Advancing the frontiers of monetary policy

Adrian, Tobias (ed.); Laxton, Douglas (ed.); … - 2018

Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182

Financial Soundness Indicators; Analytical Aspects and Country Practices

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2002

The financial turmoil of the late 1990s prompted a broad search for tools and techniques for detecting and preventing financial crises, and more recent episodes of instability have high lighted the importance of continuous monitoring of financial systems as a tool for preventing crises. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590915

Belgium; Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006

This Selected Issues paper for Belgium evaluates whether price increases in Belgium are excessive. It assesses the household and bank balance sheets and their vulnerability to a slowdown in housing prices, and identifies differences in real estate markets between Belgium and other countries. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825451

United States; Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2011

The note delves on the U.S. housing market outlook, the potential benefits of mitigating distressed sales household deleveraging, and the recovery. Policies to facilitate labor market adjustment to reduce the large employment volatility without affecting efficient labor allocation could prevent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242497

Pension Reform in Belgium

International Monetary Fund - 1996

This paper reviews the financial implications of aging for the pension system in Belgium during 1995-2050. Our simulations indicate a strong rise in pension expenditure over the next half century, as is the case in other industrialized countries. In Belgium, the problem is particularly acute in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396528

Staff Studies for the World Econ Outlook

International Monetary Fund - 1987

This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806

Three Attempts At Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan

International Monetary Fund - 2005

This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a … leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation. A univariate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400746