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The Effects of Financial Deregulationon Consumption

International Monetary Fund - 1989

This paper examines whether financial deregulation in the 1980s has reduced the importance of liquidity constraints in consumption patterns. Data for six industrialized countries are used to estimate a simple model incorporating liquidity constraints and forward looking behavior. It is concluded...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396051

Criteria of External Sustainability

International Monetary Fund - 1988

This paper analyzes the main conceptual issues that arise in assessing external sustainability with a view toward developing operational criteria for the purposes of multilateral surveillance. The main contribution of the analysis is to show how conditional forecasts of external imbalance may be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396367

Advancing the frontiers of monetary policy

Adrian, Tobias (ed.); Laxton, Douglas (ed.); … - 2018

Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182

Optimal Fiscal Policy and Government Provision of Contingent Liabilities : The Example of Government Loan and Deposit Guarantees

International Monetary Fund - 1989

The optimal provision of loan guarantees or deposit insurance is examined in the context of an overlapping generations model. It is demonstrated that even in the face of a market imperfection that precludes diversification of the private sector’s loan portfolio to eliminate risk, full...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395814

Japan's Household Savings Rate : An Application of the Life-Cycle Hypothesis

International Monetary Fund - 1987

This paper develops and tests a model of Japan’s household savings rate, based on the life-cycle hypothesis that the … primary motive for savings is provision for retirement. The paper shows that Japan’s high household savings rate in recent …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395990

Urban and Rural Household Savings in China

International Monetary Fund - 1988

Household savings behavior in China during the past 30 years has been studied by using econometric models with the time …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396466

Pension Reform in Belgium

International Monetary Fund - 1996

This paper reviews the financial implications of aging for the pension system in Belgium during 1995-2050. Our simulations indicate a strong rise in pension expenditure over the next half century, as is the case in other industrialized countries. In Belgium, the problem is particularly acute in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396528

Staff Studies for the World Econ Outlook

International Monetary Fund - 1987

This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806