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Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes
Perraudin, W. R. M.; Kumar, Manmohan S.; Moorthy, Uma - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002
This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825803
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Patterns of Shocks and Regional Monetary Cooperation in South Asia
Maskay, Nephil Matangi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
? Data from South Asia suggest that member states have minor trade linkages and face asymmetrical patterns of shocks. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825897
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Will You Buy My Peg? the Credibility of a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime As a Determinant of Bilateral Trade
Jurzyk, Emilia Magdalena; Fritz-Krockow, Bernhard - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
This paper examines the relationship between fixed exchange rate arrangements and trade using a gravity model of … international trade together with bilateral trade data from 24 countries from the Caribbean and Latin America for the period 1960 …-2001. The analysis indicates that a credible fixed peg has a positive impact on the value of bilateral trade. Moreover, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768826
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Assessing Competitiveness After Conflict; The Case of the Central African Republic
Lewis, Mark; Nachega, Jean-Claude; Bakhache, Said; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
presents several conventional techniques for assessing competitiveness, namely the real exchange rate and recent trade … many post-conflict situations. The real exchange measure and trade measures suggest some mild erosion of competitiveness in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768991
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Trade and Financial Contagion in Currency Crises
Salgado, Ranil; Ricci, Luca Antonio; Caramazza, Francesco - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper investigates empirically the relevance of external, domestic, and financial weaknesses as well as trade and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769104
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Economic Integration and the Exchange Rate Regime; Some Lessons from Canada
Arora, Vivek B.; Jeanne, Olivier - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001
.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement, suggests. We find that exchange rate flexibility has not prevented economic integration between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605495
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China's Growth and Integration into the World Economy; Prospects and Challenges
Prasad, Eswar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
China’s transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of recent decades. This paper provides an overview of some of the key aspects of recent developments in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252521
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What Prompts Central Bank Intervention in the Barbadian Foreign Exchange Market?
Jackman, Mahalia - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
The Central Bank of Barbados often intervenes – buys or sells from the foreign exchange (FX) reserves – to ensure the daily clearing of the FX market. This paper estimates an FX intervention function for Barbados using a dynamic complementary log-log model. Three general findings emerged:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260015
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Is the Chinese Renminbi Undervalued?
Tatom, John - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
The Chinese government has come under increasing criticism from both the U.S. government and some critics in U.S. industry for manipulating its currency. This article offers some insight on whether the yuan is correctly valued. Evidence suggests that, regardless of whether a fixed exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506916
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Managing Financial Crises; Recent Experience and Lessons for Latin America
Kincaid, G. Russell; Collyns, Charles - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823