recently experienced strong growth. Using long-term forecasts of economic growth from the IMF/World Bank staff Debt … Sustainability Analyses for a panel of countries, we show that the baseline forecasts are more optimistic than warranted by past … international growth experience. Further, by comparing the IMF’s World Economic Outlook forecasts with actual growth outcomes, we …

We draw on a newly collected historical dataset of fiscal variables for a large panel of countries—to our knowledge …

This paper studies the correlation between output growth and lagged stock returns in a panel of emerging market …

, examining output drops in a large panel of countries, and systematically relating them to a variety of shocks. We compute the …