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This paper focuses on the Staff-Monitored Program (SMP) for The Gambia. Understandings have been reached with the authorities on the SMP covering the period October 1, 2005 to March 31, 2006. Key objectives of the program include making progress toward fiscal sustainability, strengthening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825047
This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825803
? Data from South Asia suggest that member states have minor trade linkages and face asymmetrical patterns of shocks. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825897
Canada’s macroeconomic and policy performance has continued to outshine most other industrial countries, and its outlook remains favorable. The new government has pledged to maintain the strong social consensus in favor of fiscal surpluses, while aiming at enhancing incentives. The new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243614
The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past … exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic …-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767343
to their growth outlooks. For emerging markets, this financial channel trumps the trade channel. For a broader set of … developing countries, however, the trade channel seems to have mattered, with countries exporting more advanced manufacturing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561079
This paper examines the relationship between fixed exchange rate arrangements and trade using a gravity model of … international trade together with bilateral trade data from 24 countries from the Caribbean and Latin America for the period 1960 …-2001. The analysis indicates that a credible fixed peg has a positive impact on the value of bilateral trade. Moreover, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768826
presents several conventional techniques for assessing competitiveness, namely the real exchange rate and recent trade … many post-conflict situations. The real exchange measure and trade measures suggest some mild erosion of competitiveness in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768991
This paper investigates empirically the relevance of external, domestic, and financial weaknesses as well as trade and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769104
.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement, suggests. We find that exchange rate flexibility has not prevented economic integration between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605495