Showing 1 - 10 of 48
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the competitive threats to the tourism sector in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU). The paper concludes that the ECCU countries have lost competitiveness globally and vis-à-vis newly emergent Caribbean tourist destinations as a result of both price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591118
This paper investigates the determinants of tourism demand in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. We estimate the demand function in a panel setting using annual data from 1979 to 2005. Results show that tourism arrivals are significantly affected by economic developments in the source...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769110
The Growth and Social Protection Strategy (GSPS) provides the framework for Dominica’s economic and social policies over the next five years and sets out the macroeconomic framework; the growth strategy, including the enabling environment for private enterprise and sectoral strategies;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244873
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China’s demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011—a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this paper we attempt to shed light on the main drivers of growth surprises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142037
shocks in China. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142047
-than-expected growth in China represents a key downside risk. The results caution against trying to offset the current economic slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142049
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sectorâ … process relies primarily on collateral, like in China. As a result, the impact on economic activity of a collapse in real …€™s trading partners. Using a two-region factor-augmented vector autoregression model that allows for interaction between China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142057
estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105