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Liberia is facing large infrastructure gaps and developmental needs that constrain the country’s growth potential. The government has set an ambitious agenda to transform the economy and to reach middle-income country status by 2030 by scaling up investment in infrastructure and human capital....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790418
The paper proposes an algorithm that uses forecast encompassing tests for combining forecasts. The algorithm excludes a forecast from the combination if it is encompassed by another forecast. To assess the usefulness of this approach, an extensive empirical analysis is undertaken using a U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769228
the constant volatility case. In particular, it can shift CTM probabilities towards lower credit risk categories. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825598
To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and … value is sevenfold that of an increase. Moreover, the downward bias in systemic risk from ignoring this asymmetric pattern … asymmetric model also produces much better estimates and fitting, and thus improves the capacity to monitor systemic risk. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142002
We identify current challenges for creating stable, yet efficient financial systems using lessons from recent and past crises. Reforms need to start from three tenets: adopting a system-wide perspective explicitly aimed at addressing market failures; understanding and incorporating into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142013
transformation risk in the banking sector and promoting funding stability. The revised package has been issued for public … NSFR is a relatively consistent regulatory measure for capturing banks’ funding risk. Finally, the paper discusses key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142026
Macro-prudential policies aimed at mitigating systemic financial risks have become part of the policy toolkit in many emerging markets and some advanced countries. Their effectiveness and efficacy are not well-known, however. Using panel data regressions, we analyze how changes in balance sheets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142054
€™ risk exposure. But trying to improve financial soundness in the midst of a downturn can do the oppositeâ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142064
risk premia on public debt, because sheltering growth is key to the success of fiscal consolidation in these cases. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142067
to take on risk by reducing market discipline or by increasing charter value. We use an international sample of bank data … associated with more risk taking by banks, especially during the financial crisis (2009-10). We also find that restricting banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142178