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and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a … precautionary oil demand shock. The paper's aim is to model macroeconomic consequences of these shocks within a new Keynesian DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561072
economy specific combinations of negative domestic or foreign output demand shocks, mitigated to varying degrees by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646428
Structural budget-balance rules with countercyclical elements appear well suited to stabilize the macroeconomic volatility of oil-exporting countries and have been used successfully by other commodity exporters. Using a global DSGE model, the efficient design of such rules is found to depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790379
This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242343
countries/regions over the period 1979Q2–2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and … consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …-exporting countries that possess large proven oil/gas reserves. However, in response to an oil-demand disturbance, almost all countries in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142133
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242396
experiments, including fiscal, monetary, financial, demand, supply, and international shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
This selected issues paper on Indonesia was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on August 21, 2012. The views expressed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243208
Over the past decade policy makers in Latin America have adopted a number of macroprudential instruments to manage the procyclicality of bank credit dynamics to the private sector and contain systemic risk. Reserve requirements, in particular, have been actively employed. Despite their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878415
monetary authorities to influence demand conditions in the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826003