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the Great Recession and ensuing recovery. Our multi-sector framework accounts completely for countries' trade, investment … declines in durables investment efficiency, account for most of the collapse in trade relative to GDP. Shocks to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461991
reallocated from the private to the public sectors, reducing investment and deepening the recessions even further. To account for …. This implies that domestic debt purchases displace productive investment. The model shows that these purchases reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458985
the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real … financial market - has investment fall steeply during the recession not because of any distortions with the supply of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … of business cycle dynamics, especially sharp downturns in investment and output such as 2008-IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463250
of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that … closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Despite having no explicit financial market, the model has investment fall steeply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461213
The global crisis of 2008 raises many questions regarding the long-term response to crises. We know that households that lost access to credit, for example, were forced to adjust and increase saving. But, will households keep on saving more than they would have done otherwise had the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459594
they lost their predominance within the following decades as they were pushed to convert into Savings and Loans (S …&Ls). This study examines whether the U.S. government-insured Postal Savings System attracted funds away from B&Ls precisely when … show that the sudden rise in local postal savings was associated with local downturns in B&Ls. Using a panel vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435171
This paper develops an interpretation of the Asian meltdown focused on moral hazard as the common source of overinvestment, excessive external borrowing, and current account deficits. To the extent that foreign creditors are willing to lend to domestic agents against future bail-out revenue from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472030
stagnation of investment, especially private fixed investment, was the primary culprit. I then investigate the causes of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466513
We present a model of investment hangover motivated by the Great Recession. In our model, overbuilding of residential … economy enters a liquidity trap with limited reallocation and low output. The drop in output reduces nonresidential investment … through a mechanism similar to the acceleration principle of investment. The burst in nonresidential investment is followed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458096