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practice, incumbency advantage and coordination issues may lead to the (re)election of bad politicians. We ask whether these … elections, we find that winning an election increases candidates' chances to win the next election by 25.1 percentage points … conclude that party coordination and voters rallying candidates who won or gained visibility in an election both contribute to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435103
. We find that the share of voters who state a pre-election vote intention corresponding to their final vote choice … increases by 15 percentage points in the two months preceding the election. Changes in individual vote choices mostly result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480516
and past election results. We isolate the impact of candidates' rankings using an RDD in French local and parliamentary … candidates and voters and of election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480543
We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During the 2014 Italian municipal elections, we randomly assigned 26,000 voters to receive visits from city council candidates, canvassers supporting the candidates' list, or to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481628
content of 9,000 primary and general election websites of candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives, 2002-2016, as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322890
In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidate or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect national outcomes, we study the universe of presidential and parliamentary elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938735
effects are primarily driven by teenage years, and they persist but decay after the first election. They reflect both state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421184
U.S. states increasingly require identification to vote - an ostensive attempt to deter fraud that prompts complaints of selective disenfranchisement. Using a difference-in-differences design on a 1.3-billion-observations panel, we find the laws have no negative effect on registration or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479477
We measure the overall influence of contextual versus individual factors (e.g., voting rules and media as opposed to race and education) on voter behavior, and explore underlying mechanisms. Using a U.S.-wide voter-level panel, 2008-18, we examine voters who relocate across state and county...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482218
trust in electoral institutions after the election, a decrease that was stronger in areas that experienced election …-related violence, and for individuals on the losing side of the election. The mobilization backfired because the IEBC promised an … high institutional capacity via a mobilization campaign can negatively affect beliefs about the fairness of the election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453768