Showing 1 - 10 of 85
This paper develops a new approach to detecting electoral fraud. Our context involves repeaters, individuals voting in multiple states in the U.S. during 19th Century Congressional Elections. Given high travel times, and the associated difficulties of voting in multiple states on the same day,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362047
Presidential election in Colombia. Data from roughly 2.000 individuals suggest that our treatments enhance critical thinking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528405
Using newly digitized data on the growth of the telegraph network in America during 1840-1852, the paper studies the impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to Washington to generate plausibly exogenous variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322855
We analyze a model of political competition in which the elite forms endogenously to aggregate information and advise the uninformed median voter which candidate to choose. The median voter knows whether or not the endorsed candidate is biased toward the elites, but might still prefer the biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322896
estimate the effects of these protests on congressional election outcomes. In the South, we find that PPC protests led to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447294
practice, incumbency advantage and coordination issues may lead to the (re)election of bad politicians. We ask whether these … elections, we find that winning an election increases candidates' chances to win the next election by 25.1 percentage points … conclude that party coordination and voters rallying candidates who won or gained visibility in an election both contribute to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435103
Analyses of the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes … exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during Election Day. Analyzing high frequency financial fluctuations … following the release of flawed exit poll data on Election Day 2004, and then during the vote count, we find that markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466596
weak. One explanation for the failure to uncover the expected relationship between federal spending and election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473896
This paper examines the relationship between the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE) and election polls during the 1988 … Canadian General Election campaign. Two hypotheses are investigated: first, did polls influence the TSE, and secondly, if so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475973
This paper extends the spatial theory of voting to an institutional structure in which policy choices are a function of the composition of the legislature and of the executive. In an institutional setup in which the policy outcome depends upon relative plurality, each voter has incentives to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475974