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Macroeconomic Forecasting using Filtered Signals from a Stock Market Cross Section

Chatelais, Nicolas; Stalla-Bourdillon, Arthur; Chinn, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

After the Covid-shock in March 2020, stock prices declined abruptly, reflecting both the deterioration of investors' expectations of economic activity as well as the surge in aggregate risk aversion. In the following months however, whereas economic activity remained sluggish, equity markets...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334522

Business Group Spillovers

Naaraayanan, S. Lakshmi; Wolfenzon, Daniel - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We compare the investment of standalone firms across regions after a positive shock to the investment opportunities generated by a large-scale highway development project. We show that the standalones' investment sensitivity is lower in regions with a higher density of business groups in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250125

Trust and Health Care-Seeking Behavior

Darden, Michael; Macis, Mario - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

expressing health care-seeking behavior as a function of economic and behavioral fundamentals and highlighting the role of trust …. We report several findings. First, we document a strong association between higher levels of trust in the health care … scenarios, from routine check-ups to vaccinations. Second, the impact of trust on health care utilization is similar in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468228