This paper studies how international trade influences U.S. presidential elections. We expect the positive employment … effects of expanding exports to increase support for the incumbent's party, and job insecurity from import competition to … diminish such support. Our national-level models show for the first time that increasing imports are associated with decreasing …

This chapter investigates the non-market response of firms to international trade shocks increasing the level of … the cost-benefit trade-off between innovation and lobbying is relatively less appealing for low productivity firms, but …

overall imports in 2008, taking advantage of the rich heterogeneity in trade policy and trade growth across products during …We study the growth of Chinese imports into the United States from autarky during 1950-1970 to about 15 percent of … this period. Central to our analysis is an accounting for the dynamics of trade, trade policy, and trade …

exposed to the China trade shock, the overall contribution of immigration to labor market adjustment in this episode was small … regions with high trade exposure was only three-fifths that in regions with low exposure. Immigration thus appears more likely …

We quantify the impact on U.S. employment from imports and exports during 1995-2011, using the World Input … gain due to merchandise exports was 3.7 million jobs. In comparison, U.S. merchandise imports from China led to reduced … total job losses of 2.0 million. It follows that the expansion in U.S. merchandise exports to the world relative to imports …

Abstract We evaluate the duration of the China trade shock and its impact on a wide range of outcomes over the period …. Adverse impacts of import competition on manufacturing employment, overall employment-population ratios, and income per capita … in more trade-exposed U.S. commuting zones are present out to 2019. Over the full study period, greater import …

U.S. trade statistics to provide a broad overview of how the margins of trade contribute to variation in U.S. imports … and exports across trading partners, types of trade (i.e., arm's-length versus related-party) and both short and long time …Recent research in international trade emphasizes the importance of firms' extensive margins for understanding overall …

years 1989-2001. Earlier CD-ROMs distributed by the NBER described data on U.S. imports and exports from 1972-1994, and …This paper describes the updating of the NBER trade dataset, which now provides U.S. import and export values to the … year 2001, disaggregated by Harmonized System (HS), Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), and the U …

generate heterogeneous domestic sourcing responses to trade shocks …