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fluctuations associated with these events are also discussed, as is their role in the recent surge of inflation, with a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322883
short-run and long-run inflation expectations. The estimated model allows us to analyze the direct and indirect effects of … product-market and labor-market shocks on prices and nominal wages and to quantify the sources of U.S. pandemic-era inflation … and wage growth. We find that, contrary to early concerns that inflation would be spurred by overheated labor markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322804
Fiscal support measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic varied in their targeted beneficiaries. Relying on variability across 10 large economies, we study differences in the inflationary effects of fiscal support measures targeting consumers or businesses. Because conventional measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537798
is likely to have large effects on the future path of house prices and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210069
public finances. We show that when the ECB misses its inflation target this has large heterogeneous fiscal consequences for … missing their inflation targets. They are also sizeable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537713
activity and inflation as latent variables. We incorporate these latent variables into a factor-augmented vector autoregression … activity and inflation, consistent with previous studies. In contrast to much of the literature, however, we find that central …-bank-determined changes in Chinese interest rates also have substantial impacts on economic activity and inflation, while other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458147
the quantity of imports. We investigate the impact of an import constraint on inflation, following an increase in domestic … demand. Whether the binding import constraint raises inflation depends on how it affects trade intermediation costs. If the … binding constraint raises trade costs, then import price inflation also increases. In this case, however, foreign producer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468272
function involving output and inflation gaps, increasing core spending would generate substantial welfare improvements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457242
actions are explained solely by its forecasts of inflation and real activity. Finally, we explore the possibility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470341
This paper considers VAR models incorporating many time series that interact through a few dynamic factors. Several econometric issues are addressed including estimation of the number of dynamic factors and tests for the factor restrictions imposed on the VAR. Structural VAR identification based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467213