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We explore the role of sectoral debt dynamics in shaping business cycles in a sample of 52 Emerging Market Economies … (EMEs) and Frontier Market Economies (FMEs) from 2005 to 2021. Higher household debt levels and growth are associated with … between US dollar cycles, sectoral debt levels and growth, and economic activity. Among developed EMEs, higher expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486174
Emerging countries exhibit volatile fiscal policies and frequent sovereign debt crises, that significantly diminish the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447264
We analyze the financial performance of a hypothetical portfolio of 120 mRNA vaccine candidates in the preclinical stage targeting 11 emerging infectious diseases. We calibrate the simulation parameters with input from domain experts in mRNA technology and an extensive literature review. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334345
In 2021, the Biden Administration issued mandates requiring COVID-19 vaccinations for U.S. federal employees and contractors and for some healthcare and private sector workers. Although these mandates have been subject to legal challenges and some have been halted or delayed, rigorous appraisal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361993
We study impacts of a cash transfer program with no means-test and no work restrictions: the US Department of Veteran Affairs (VA) Disability Compensation program. Our empirical strategy leverages quasi-random assignment of veterans claiming mental disorder disability to examiners who vary in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172176
We study the effectiveness of government aid to exporters by exploring an exogenous shock that affected the ability of the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) to provide aid to U.S. exporters through loan guarantees to importers. We focus on Boeing, the largest individual recipient of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337795
has real effects: firms that borrow from more exposed banks experience lower debt growth and investment rates. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436991
period 1940-2014, we document the following evidence that corporate debt plays a key role in explaining boom-bust cycles …, financial crises, and slow macroeconomic recoveries: (i) corporate debt accounts for two thirds of the aggregate credit … expansion before crises and three quarters of total nonperforming loans during the bust; (ii) expansions in corporate debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512079
markets sustains the safety of its public debt. Our findings indicate that the loss of this special status in the event of a … default significantly augments the debt capacity for the US. Debt levels would be up to 30% lower if the US did not have this … special status. Most of this extra debt capacity arises from the loss of the convenience yield on US Treasuries, which makes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486221
differed from the Great Recession in that sovereign debt markets remained calm and spreads barely responded. We study the … economy model with long-term debt and default, which we augment with official lenders, heterogeneous households and sectors … boom-bust cycle of Greece before Covid and salient observations on macro aggregates, government debt, and the sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468244