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Volatility tests are an alternative to regression tests for evaluating the joint null hypothesis of market efficiency … taken to be. By considering tests based on conditional volatility bounds, we show that if the alternative is that one could … conditional volatility tests.If the application is to spot and forward markets, then the most powerful conditional volatility test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477997
We provide a model for why high beta assets are more prone to speculative overpricing than low beta ones. When … investors disagree about the common factor of cash-flows, high beta assets are more sensitive to this macro-disagreement and … funds result in high beta assets being over-priced. When aggregate disagreement is low, expected return increases with beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460112
This paper breaks assets' betas with common factors into components attributable to news about future cash flows, real interest rates, and excess returns. To achieve this decomposition the paper uses a vector autoregressive time-series model and an approximate log-linear present value relation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474630
this paper, we compare two formulations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. The traditional CAPM suggests that the … appropriate measure of an asset's risk is the covariance of the asset's return with the market return. The consumption CAPM, on … cross section of 464 stocks and find that the beta measured with respect to a stock market index outperforms the beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477690
alphas and betas. We show that under a conditional CAPM with time-varying betas, predictable market risk premia, and … stochastic systematic volatility, there is little evidence that the conditional alpha for a book-to-market trading strategy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466768
It is well-known that size-adjustments based on Edgeworth expansions for the t-statistic perform poorly when instruments are weakly correlated with the endogenous explanatory variable. This paper shows, however, that the lack of Edgeworth expansions and bootstrap validity are not tied to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467807
This paper provides inference methods for best linear approximations to functions which are known to lie within a band. It extends the partial identification literature by allowing the upper and lower functions defining the band to carry an index, and to be unknown but parametrically or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479546
The equity premium, namely the expected return on the aggregate stock market less the government bill rate, is of central importance to the portfolio allocation of individuals, to the investment decisions of firms, and to model calibration and testing. This quantity is usually estimated from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458978
Previous studies have identified predetermined variables that have some power to explain the time series of stock and bond returns. This paper shows that loadings on the same variables also provide significant cross-sectional explanatory power for stock portfolio returns. These loadings are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471791
Costs of equity for individual firms are estimated in a Bayesian framework using several factor-based pricing models. Substantial prior uncertainty about mispricing often produces an estimated cost of equity close to that obtained with mispricing precluded, even for a stock whose average return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472312