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treatment, but is based on untestable assumptions and is subject to structural data mining. Combining the approaches by holding … trial, we provide a formal rationale for the use of a holdout sample in an environment in which data mining poses an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459096
problem is not to expect a mass renunciation of data mining, selective data cleaning or opportunistic methodology selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466072
for stock returns related to the classic studies of Yule (1926) and Granger and Newbold (1974). Data mining for predictor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469566
damage. As expected, when the environmental damage from mining is known, the socially optimal timing will depend on the … mining until better information arrives. We show conditions under which it is optimal to postpone the mining decision … marginal mine owner is completely indifferent between mining immediately and at any point in the future. Thus, for our problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457342
An intertemporal capital asset valuation approach is applied to analyzing the effects of nonlinear taxes on asset values and optimal investment decisions. The method is quite general, and is illustrated both analytically and numerically, The paper studies the effects of nonlinearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476441
The rise of centralized mining pools for risk sharing does not necessarily undermine the decentralization required for … disproportionately fewer miners, and thus grow more slowly. Instead, mining pools as a financial innovation escalate the arms race among … evidence from Bitcoin mining supports our model predictions. The economic insights inform many other blockchain protocols as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479545
New data-gathering techniques, often referred to as "Big Data" have the potential to improve statistics and empirical research in economics. In this paper we describe our work with online data at the Billion Prices Project at MIT and discuss key lessons for both inflation measurement and some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456563
We characterize and demonstrate a solution method for an optimal commodity (sales) tax problem consisting of multiple goods, heterogeneous agents, and a nonconvex policy maker optimization problem. Our approach allows for more dimensions of heterogeneity than has been previously possible,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458534
This paper studies the estimation of asset pricing model regressions with conditional alphas and betas, focusing on the joint effects of data snooping and spurious regression. We find that the regressions are reasonably well specified for conditional betas, even in settings where simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466003
We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text content of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984{2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news as easily interpretable topical themes and quantifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479172