impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to … evidence that newspapers facilitated the dissemination of national news to local areas. In addition, text analysis on more than … a hundred small-town weekly newspapers from the 1840s shows that the improved access to news from Washington led …

not run in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, a relatively representative electoral constituency, in the general election of July 23 …

. We find that the share of voters who state a pre-election vote intention corresponding to their final vote choice … increases by 15 percentage points in the two months preceding the election. Changes in individual vote choices mostly result …

on US elections since 1952. We envision a forecaster who fits a model using data from a given election and uses that … each election will have a 50-50 partisan split. Enriching the set of demographics available does not change this conclusion …

practice, incumbency advantage and coordination issues may lead to the (re)election of bad politicians. We ask whether these … elections, we find that winning an election increases candidates' chances to win the next election by 25.1 percentage points … conclude that party coordination and voters rallying candidates who won or gained visibility in an election both contribute to …

estimate the effects of these protests on congressional election outcomes. In the South, we find that PPC protests led to …

newspaper endorsements. We first develop a simple econometric model in which voters choose candidates under uncertainty and rely … on endorsements from better informed sources. Newspapers are potentially biased in favor of one of the candidates and … the Democratic candidate from left-leaning newspapers are less influential than are endorsements from neutral or right …