Showing 1 - 10 of 11
Critical values from the normal distribution can be used irrespective of the treatment of the deterministic terms. Simulations show that the estimates are precise, and the t-test has good size in the parameter region where the least squares estimates usually yield distorted inference
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461234
We propose a way to formalize the relationship between descriptive analysis and structural estimation. A researcher reports an estimate ĉ of a structural quantity of interest c that is valid under some models. The researcher also reports descriptive statistics γ̂ that estimate features γ of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480868
We propose a formal definition of transparency in empirical research and apply it to structural estimation in economics. We discuss how some existing practices can be understood as attempts to improve transparency, and we suggest ways to improve current practice, emphasizing approaches that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479155
We propose a model of empirical science in which an analyst makes a report to an audience after observing some data. Agents in the audience may differ in their beliefs or objectives, and may therefore update or act differently following a given report. We contrast the proposed model with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479347
Many empirical questions can be cast as inference on a parameter selected through optimization. For example, researchers may be interested in the effectiveness of the best policy found in a randomized trial, or the best-performing investment strategy based on historical data. Such settings give...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479412
We consider inference based on linear conditional moment inequalities, which arise in a wide variety of economic applications, including many structural models. We show that linear conditional structure greatly simplifies confidence set construction, allowing for computationally tractable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480319
External validity is a challenge in treatment effect estimation. Even in randomized trials, the experimental sample often differs from the population of interest. If participation decisions are explained by observed variables such differences can be overcome by reweighting. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453885
Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication as a function of a study's results, the first based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455383
We propose a local measure of the relationship between parameter estimates and the moments of the data they depend on. Our measure can be computed at negligible cost even for complex structural models. We argue that reporting this measure can increase the transparency of structural estimates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457992
Empirical researchers frequently rely on normal approximations in order to summarize and communicate uncertainty about their findings to their scientific audience. When such approximations are unreliable, they can lead the audience to make misguided decisions. We propose to measure the failure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468238