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Amidst the recent resurgence of inflation, this paper investigates the interplay of corporate profits and income distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework. We derive a novel analytical condition for profits to be procyclical and inflationary....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337850
We study a new type of monetary-fiscal interaction in a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model with a fiscal block. Due to household heterogeneity, the stock of public debt affects the natural interest rate, forcing the central bank to adapt its monetary policy rule to the fiscal stance to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512073
This article summarizes empirical research on the interaction between monetary policy and asset markets, and reviews our previous theoretical work that captures these interactions. We present a concise model in which monetary policy impacts the aggregate asset price, which in turn influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468253
Are unregulated capital flows excessive during a stagflation episode? We argue that they likely are, owing to a macroeconomic externality operating through the economy's supply side. Inflows raise domestic wages through a wealth effect on labor supply and cause unwelcome upward pressure on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462700
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian economies with arbitrary input-output linkages. Analytically, we decompose how production linkages (1) amplify the persistence of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287319
together--there is a world component to business cycles. This paper argues that capital accumulation and international capital … flows are central to understanding world trade and business cycles. In particular, fluctuations in net exports and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473868
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts that capital market integration should lower consumption volatility while raising investment volatility, if most shocks are country-specific and transitory. The removal of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474757
Cyclical fluctuations in nominal variables--aggregate price levels and nominal interest rates--are documented to be substantially more synchronized across countries than cyclical fluctuations in real output. A transparent mechanism that can account for this striking feature of the nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463527
risk factors. Using a global vector autoregressive macroeconomic model accounting for about 80% of world output, we propose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467187
The volatility of economic activity in most G7 economies has moderated over the past forty years. Also, despite large increases in trade and openness, G7 business cycles have not become more synchronized. After documenting these twin facts, we interpret G7 output data using a structural VAR that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468838