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Value at Risk has become the standard measure of market risk employed by financial institutions for both internal and … regulatory purposes. Despite its conceptual simplicity, its measurement is a very challenging statistical problem and none of the … methodologies developed so far give satisfactory solutions. Interpreting Value at Risk as a quantile of future portfolio values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471443
payoffs, our model provides a novel and unified account of many empirical phenomena, including frequent risk-seeking behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462269
extremely high risk aversion would achieve a higher expected utility by holding a portfolio of stocks rather than bonds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468805
. We show that agents who maximize a GEU exhibit first order risk aversion and tend to refrain from di- versification in … risk aversion increases the threshold of yields leading to diversification, shifting the cone of diversification upwards … given domestic yield. Ceteris paribus, greater downside risk aversion reduces the feasible hetero- geneity of normalized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472856
Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482502
This essay reviews the family of models that seek to provide aggregate risk based explanations for the empirically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465434
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459206
We propose a measure for systemic risk: CoVaR, the value at risk (VaR) of the financial system conditional on … institutions being under distress. We define an institution's contribution to systemic risk as the difference between CoVaR … leverage, size, and maturity mismatch predict systemic risk contribution. We also provide out of sample forecasts of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461183
This paper provides an empirical analysis of the risk of trading revenues of U.S. commercial banks. We collect … quarterly data on trading revenues, broken down by business line, as well as the Value at Risk-based market risk charge. The … across business lines. These low correlations do not corroborate systemic risk concerns. Neither is there evidence that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467650
place greater weight on downside risk demand additional compensation for holding stocks with high sensitivities to downside … market movements. We show that the cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium for downside risk. Specifically, stocks … that covary strongly with the market when the market declines have high average returns. We estimate that the downside risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466847