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the buy-side mutual fund managers to whom they are connected. We consider cases in which analysts recommend that the … public buys a stock, but some fund managers sell it. We measure favor trading using mutual fund managers' votes for analysts … in a Chinese "star analyst" competition. We find that managers are more likely to vote for analysts who exhibit more "say …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210060
An exclusive focus on bottom-line income misses important information about the quality of earnings. Accruals (the difference between accounting earnings and cash flow) are reliably, negatively associated with future stock returns. Earnings increases that are accompanied by high accruals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470416
Financial reports present assets, liabilities, and earnings on a nominal basis (unadjusted for inflation). Using a novel dataset of nearly a century of financial reports, this paper examines whether and how inflation affects the relation between accounting earnings and stock market value, i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528402
The rise of shale gas and tight oil development has triggered a major debate about hydraulic fracturing (HF). In an effort to mitigate risks from HF, especially with respect to water quality, many U.S. states have introduced disclosure mandates for HF wells and fracturing fluids. We use this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537736
Managers conducting earnings conference calls display distinctive styles in their word choice. Some CEOs and CFOs are … find earnings news less informative when managers are vague; they respond less and more slowly as a result. Thus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455256
We construct a price, dividend, and earnings series for the Industrials sector, the Utilities sector, and the Railroads sector from the beginning of the 1870s until the beginning of the year 2013 from primary sources. To infer about mispricings in the sector markets over more than a century, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458297
cross-sectional variation. On average, the bias increases in the forecast horizon, and analysts revise their expectations … excessively optimistic relative to our benchmark. Managers of companies with the greatest upward biased earnings forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481146
areas of India, and that farmers respond more strongly to the forecast where there is more forecast skill and not at all … when there is no skill. We show, using an IV strategy in which the Indian government forecast of monsoon rainfall serves as … estimated. Using the full rainfall distribution and our profit function estimates, we find that Indian farmers on average under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459327
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457852
Our paper reexamines the forecasting regressions which predict annual aggregate stock market returns net of the risk-free rate with lagged aggregate dividend-yield ratios and dividend-price ratios. Prior to 1990, the conditional dividend yield could reliably outperform the historical equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469927