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sloping, indicating that the Bank of Japan's commitment failed to have su.cient influence on the market's expectations about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005033484
because fiscal expectations can be extrapolated from past fiscal behavior. But normal times may be coming to an end: aging … the benefits. In this era of fiscal stress, fiscal expectations are unanchored and fiscal alchemy creates unnecessary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008685014
The Shadow Open Market Committee was formed in 1973 in response to rising inflation and the apparent unwillingness of U.S. policymakers to implement policies necessary to maintain price stability. This paper describes how the Committee's policy views differed from those of most Federal Reserve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876847
. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey-based expectations for inflation and output. We identify accommodating … monetary policy may have played role in anchoring inflation expectations. Shocks and policy regimes jointly drive the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025241
real-time forecasting approaches. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010775233
The common approach to evaluating a model in the structural VAR literature is to compare the impulse responses from structural VARs run on the data to the theoretical impulse responses from the model. The Sims-Cogley-Nason approach instead compares the structural VARs run on the data to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005774407
Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of DSGE models with and without financial frictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950792
I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262799
The optimal choice of a monetary policy instrument depends on how tight and transparent the available instruments are and on whether policymakers can commit to future policies. Tightness is always desirable; transparency is only if policymakers cannot commit. Interest rates, which can be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714373
This paper reviews the rationale for quantitative easing when central bank policy rates reach near zero levels in light of recent announcements regarding direct asset purchases by the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. Empirical evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548807