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We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution … of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real … units. Statistically, the link between measured and predicted rate of employment is characterized by the coefficient of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009220106
obtained for the USA is characterized by A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a root mean square forecasting error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836346
A two-component model for the evolution of real GDP per capita in the USA is presented and tested. The first component … between the growth rate of real GDP per capita and the number of 9-year-olds in the USA is tested for cointegration. For … cointegrating relation. Econometrically, the tests for cointegration show that the deviations of real economic growth in the USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790144
In April 2009, we introduced a model representing the evolution of motor fuel price (a subcategory of the consumer price index of transportation) relative to the overall CPI as a linear function of time. Under our framework, all price deviations from the linear trend are transient and the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543797