Showing 1 - 10 of 114
produced is in line with its empirical counterpart. A nonlinear estimation of the model using consumption data leads to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706175
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706624
This paper studies the dynamics of six major exchange rates, and runs formal tests to distinguish among different types of nonlinearities. In particular we study exchange rate returns, normalized exchange rates and exchange rate volatilities, classifying these series using BDS test, correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343023
We examine out of sample predictive power of real time monetary models with nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the Pound Sterling/US Dollar exchange rates. Real time revisions of U.K. and U.S. monetary aggregates and output are significant. By studying recursive out of sample forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537456
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706650
roots in the exchange rates, fat tails for returns, and volatility clustering). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132889
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345386
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132815
"Despite the common view that exchange rate volatility will inevitably depress the volume of international trade by … empirically investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on real international trade flows, but with a much broader … perspective and an improved measure of volatility. Our 18-country data set consists of bilateral real exports for the period 1980 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345565
This paper proposes a new way of modeling and forecasting intraday returns. We decompose the volatility of high … product of daily, diurnal and stochastic intraday volatility components. This model is applied to a comprehensive sample …-by-company estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132655