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resulting Phillips curve involves lagged inflation and lagged expectations. It nests the Calvo NKPC as a limiting case in the … inflation always has negative coefficients, thereby making it impossible to interpret inflation persistence as intrinsic. The … shocks, and output leads inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999109
This paper uses the Bayesian approach to solve and estimate a New Keynesian model augmented by a generalized Phillips curve, in which the shape of the price reset hazards can be identi…ed using aggregate data. My empirical result shows that a constant hazard function is easily rejected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008527068
reduced-form Phillips curve - the positive dependence of inflation on its own lags. In this paper, I show that it is the 4 … price reset hazard function can generate simulated data that are consistent with inflation gap persistence found in US CPI … data. I conclude that a non-constant price reset hazard plays a crucial role for generating realistic inflation dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008587702
This paper presents an approach to identify aggregate price reset hazards from the joint dynamic behavior of inflation … and macroeconomic aggregates. The identification is possible due to the fact that inflation is composed of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503211
deliver a reasonable explanation for the differences in the pattern of inflation between the two countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652768
This paper studies the robust estimation and inference of threshold models with integrated regres- sors. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the profiled least squares (LS) estimator under the diminishing threshold effect assumption that the size of the threshold effect converges to zero....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678251
A growing body of literature argues that the financial cycle is considerably longer in duration and larger in amplitude than the business cycle and that its distinguishing features became more pronounced over time. This paper proposes an empirical approach suitable to test these hypothe- ses. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252587
This paper studies the performance of nonparametric quantile regression as a tool to predict Value at Risk (VaR). The approach is flexible as it requires no assumptions on the form of return distributions. A monotonized double kernel local linear estimator is applied to estimate moderate (1%)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008629520
A Lévy process is observed at time points of distance Δ until time T. We construct an estimator of the Lévy-Khinchine characteristics of the process and derive optimal rates of convergence simultaneously in T and Δ. Thereby, we encompass the usual low- and high-frequency assumptions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024915
We propose a novel approach to model serially dependent positive-valued variables which realize a non-trivial proportion of zero outcomes. This is a typical phenomenon in financial time series observed on high frequencies, such as cumulated trading volumes or the time between potentially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727350