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their subjective confidence intervals were generally too narrow and overconfidence was found to increase with experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297
In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and the correspondence of different experimental risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919409
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In standard rational choice modelling decisions are made according to given information and preferences. In the model presented here the 'information technology' of individual decision makers as well as their preferences evolve in a dynamic process. In this process decisions are made rationally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578580
Applying an indirect evolutionary approach with endogenous preference formation, we show that a legal system can induce players to reward trust even if material incentives dictate to exploit trust. By analyzing the crowding out or crowding in of trustworthiness implied by various verdict rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581088
Experimental studies have shown that trust and reciprocity are effective in increasing efficiency when complete contracting is infeasible. One example is the study by Berg et al. (1995) of the investment game. In this game the person who receives the investment is the one who may reward the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612013
This article investigates whether decision makers intuitively optimize close to the normative prediction in entrepreneurial decision situations where their time must be allocated between a wage job and a newly formed venture. We offer an analytical model based on maximizing expected utility, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621420