Qualitative and quantitative properties of the Cornish-Fisher-Expansion in the context of Delta-Gamma-Normal approaches to the computation of Value at Risk are presented. Some qualitative deficiencies of the Cornish-Fisher-Expansion - the monotonicity of the distribution function as well as...

We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...

We propose a nonparametric test for checking parametric hypotheses about the stationary density of weakly dependent observations. The test statistic is based on the L2-distance between a nonparametric and a smoothed version of a parametric estimate of the stationary density. It can be shown that...

We show that the empirical process of the squared residuals of an ARCH(p) sequence converges in distribution 1,0 a Gaussirm process B(F(t)) +t f(t) e, where F is the distribution function of the squared innovations, f its derivative, {B(tl, 0 <; t>1} a Brownian bridge and e a normal random variable....</;>

We discuss how to assess the performance for credit scores under the assumption that for credit data only a part of the defaults and nondefaults is observed. The paper introduces a criterion that is based on the difference of the score distributions under default and nondefault. We show how to...

We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...

We investigate the relationship between inflation and price variation using highly disaggregated, weekly price data for consumption goods recorded in Germany during 1995, a low inflation period. We find a significant positive correlation between the rates of price change and price dispersion,...