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Using option prices the expectations of the market participants concerning the underlying asset can be extracted as well as the uncertainty surrounding these expectations. In this paper a mixture of lognormal density functions will be assumed to analyze options on three-month Euribor futures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614294
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This paper proposes linear higher order conditions on the term structure that allow to compute valuation bounds for any deterministic cash stream. Starting from bounds on the forward rate curve and its derivatives, which are nonlinear in the discount factors, we derive linear conditions that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579185
find that the volatility depends on either the interest rate level or information shocks but not on both. Finally, we … propose to describe the short term interest rate's dynamics by means of an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility. -- Term … Structure Models ; Stochastic Volatility ; ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
Credit risk refers to the risk of incurring losses due to unexpected changes in the credit quality of a counterparty or issuer. In this paper we give an introduction to the modeling of credit risks and the valuation of credit-risky securities. We consider individual as well as correlated credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625799
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The analysis of volatility in financial markets has become a first rank issue in modern financial theory and practice … of volatility. Much research has been done on the analysis of realized historic volatilities, Roll (1977) and references … solved for the constant volatility parameter a using observed option prices. This is a more natural approach as the option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615424
By extending the GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) to more flexible volatility estimation it is shown that the … prices of out-of-the-money options strongly depend on volatility features such as asymmetry. Results are provided for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659059
A primary goal in modelling the dynamics of implied volatility surfaces (IVS) aims at reducing complexity. For this …, neglects the degenerated string structure of the implied volatility data and may result in a severe modelling bias. We propose … value at risk computations and scenario analysis. -- Implied Volatility Surface ; Smile ; Generalized Additive Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663844
prices caused by stochastic volatility. -- option pricing ; autoregression ; heteroskedasticity ; GARCH ; leverage effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460