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We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
It is common practice to identify the number and sources of shocks that move implied volatilities across space and time by applying Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to pooled covariance matrices of changes in implied volatilities. This approach, however, is likely to result in a loss of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613597
Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875
For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...
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VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value …
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Spatial Internet Marketplaces are attractive as a mechanism to enable spatial applications to be built drawing on remote services for supply of data and for data manipulation. They differ from the usual distributed systems by treating the services as published by providers on the Internet and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658472
When people decide about saving and consumption across the various periods of their life time they take into account their life expectancy when comparing present and future needs and resources for satisfying them. The experimental design, applied at two sites (Humboldt-University at Berlin and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578010