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Does cascade behavior in information cascades reflect Bayesian updating? : an experimental study

Oberhammer, Clemens; Stiehler, Andreas - 2001

study subjects' probabilty formation less crudely. The results show that in many situations herding occurs in accordance …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613603

Simultaneous over- and underconfidence : evidence from experimental asset markets

Maciejovsky, Boris; Kirchler, Erich - 2001

In this paper individual overconfidence within the context of an experimental asset market is investigated. Overall, 72 participants traded one risky asset on six markets of 12 participants each. The results indicate that individuals were not generally overconfident. Moreover, overconfidence was...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297

Information cascades on the labor market

Kübler, Dorothea; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2001

A model of herding behavior on the labor market is discussed where employers only receive signals with limited …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616781

Framing effects on asset markets : an experimental analysis

Kirchler, Erich; Maciejovsky, Boris; Weber, Martin - 2001

In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618

How accurate do markets predict the outcome of an event? : the Euro 2000 soccer championships experiment

Schmidt, Carsten; Werwatz, Axel - 2002 - Rev.

For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621415

Private information, risk aversion, and the evolution of market research

Güth, Sandra; Güth, Werner; Müller, Wieland - 2000

On a homogeneous oligopoly market informed sellers are fully aware of market demand whereas uninformed sellers only know the distribution. We first derive the market results when sellers are risk averse, similarly to Ponssard (1979) who assumed risk neutrality throughout. With the help of these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612010

Limited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratory

Kübler, Dorothea; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2000

player can obtain a signal for free (as in the experiment by Anderson and Holt, 1997, American Economic Review), the case of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612571

Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents

Horst, Ulrich - 2001

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599

Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence

Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001

Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875

Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?

Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002

Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416