Showing 1 - 10 of 351
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
- 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … prices. Having identified subperiods of homogeneous volatility dynamics we concentrate on stylized facts to distinguish these … volatility regimes. The bottom level of estimated volatility turns out be considerably higher during the second part of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784
theory but rather base the decision of the lag structure on a robust Lagrange Multiplier test. In contrast to U.S. data we … find that the volatility depends on either the interest rate level or information shocks but not on both. Finally, we … propose to describe the short term interest rate's dynamics by means of an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility. -- Term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288
This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025
capturing both of the typical characteristics of the short-term interest rate: volatility persistence and the dependence of … volatility on the level of the interest rate. The model also allows for regime switches whose presence has been a third central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
models, such as discrete time series models, time-inhomogeneous diffusion models, stochastic volatility models, jump … ; Parameter estimation uncertainty ; Probability integral transform ; Quadratic form ; Short-term interest rate ; Transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426
maturities and moneyness dimension is neglected. In this paper we propose to estimate the implied volatility surface at each … point in time nonparametrically and to analyze the implied volatility surface slice by slice with a common principal … study a p variate random vector of k groups, say the "volatility smile" at p different grid points of moneyness for k …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613597
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611