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Taylor rules and macroeconomic instability or how the Central Bank can pre-empt sunspot expectations

Weder, Mark (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917100

A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds

Riedel, Frank - 1997

The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox …. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we show that this is not always the case. The unbiased expectations … volatilities of the forward rates. -- term structure of interest rates ; expectations hypotheses …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605

The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period

Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001

A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780

Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773

Cyclical correlations, credit contagion, and portfolio losses

Giesecke, Kay (contributor); Weber, Stefan (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919109

Stabilization policy and business cycle phases in Europe : a Markov Switching VAR analysis

Beine, Michel; Candelon, Bertrand; Sekkat, Khalid - 1999

Most of the empirical studies dealing with international business cycles have disregarded the credibility issues that play an important role in the decision to join or not a monetary union. Most of empirical applications based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for these aspects. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582416

Testing of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

We propose in this article a two-step testing procedure of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series. It is based on Robinson’s (1994) univariate tests and is similar in spirit to the one proposed by Engle and Granger (1987), testing initially the order of integration of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612018

The great demand depression

Weder, Mark - 2001

This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288

Fractional integration and business cycle features

Candelon, Bertrand; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295

Banks' supply of loans : when future monetary policy is uncertain

Mitusch, Kay; Nautz, Dieter - 1998

The most important policy instruments of the Bundesbank and of the coming European Central Bank involve lending to domestic credit institutions. In this monetary setup, banks use short-term central bank credits extensively in order to refinance long-term loans to the public, which makes them...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578028