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This paper investigates leading indicators of systemic banking crises in a panel of 11 EU countries, with a particular focus on Finland. We use quarterly data from 1980Q1 to 2013Q2, in order to create a large number of macro-financial indicators, as well as their various transformations. We make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818986
This paper presents first steps toward robust early-warning models. We conduct a horse race of conventional statistical methods and more recent machine learning methods. As early-warning models based upon one approach are oftentimes built in isolation of other methods, the exercise is of high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210508
Building on the work of Sorge and Virolainen (2006), we revisit the data on aggregate Finnish bank loan losses from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509434
This paper evaluates bank exit regimes in selected financial centres using econometric methods. The focus is on bank … exit regimes applicable to commercial banks in New York, London, Frankfurt, Helsinki and Tokyo in 1998–2002. Bank exit … regimes are studied from the perspective of bank creditors and bank shareholders. In order to apply econometric methods, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423720
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The 5th joint SUERF/Bank of Finland joint conference was held in Helsinki on 13 June 2013. The general theme of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711934
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A unique Finnish household-level data from 1994 to 2009 allow us to measure how households’ financial expectations are related to the subsequent outcomes. We use the difference between the two to measure forecast errors and household optimism and link the errors to households’ borrowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819005