This paper estimates NAIRU (Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) for the Turkish economy as an unobserved stochastic variable by systems approach. Based on a Phillips curve equation combined with an Okun law for output gap and unemployment gap, the systems approach imposes stochastic...

Rapid credit growth, short-term capital inflows, and associated macro-financial risks in the aftermath of the global crisis necessitated the use of alternative policy instruments in Turkey. Accordingly, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) has designed and adopted a new policy mix...

This paper aims to serve two purposes. First, we provide information on the Turkish lira (TL) corporate bond market, which has developed rapidly in the last couple of years. Second and more prominently, we estimate the yield curve for corporate bonds in Turkey using the Nelson Siegel...

Heightened volatility in cross-border capital flows has increased exchange rate volatility across emerging markets as well as in advanced economies, setting the stage for more active management of currencies. Traditionally, foreign exchange rate intervention has been the primary tool to address...

Post-crisis spillovers and heightened capital flows have triggered a search for alternative monetary policy frameworks, especially for small open emerging economies. The Turkish experience since end-2010 sets out an interesting case in this respect. Faced with extreme volatility in cross-border...

This paper tests the effects of the global crisis on the structure of the Turkish banking sector using bank-level data during 2002Q4-2013Q3 period and employing random effects model. The selected dependent variables are financial ratios on capital adequacy, asset quality, liquidity,...

This paper aims to serve two purposes. First, it evaluates the ability of various financial market instruments to capture market expectations on short-term rate. Second, it proposes an alternative approach to obtain estimates of term premium inherent in alternative returns. Empirical results...