Showing 1 - 10 of 13
that numerical forecasts can be decomposed into both an econometric model and random expert intuition. We show that the … intuition, and the current and lagged correlations between intuition and news (or shocks to the numerical forecasts). It follows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257278
replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast … are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data set for the … that progress can be explained predominantly by improved intuition. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256344
This paper describes a search model with a continuum of worker and job types, free entry and transferable utility. We apply a second-order Taylor expansion to characterize the equilibrium, derive the "cost of search" and show that it is decreasing in the substitutability of worker types. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256931
. We distinguish between different types of recruitment methods. We find that the sequential hiring is rejected for a …This paper examines the recruitment process of firms. We test whether firms search sequentially or non …-sequentially using data compiled from filled vacancies. According to theory, in case of sequential hiring, the number of applicants is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255552
This discussion paper resulted in an article in <I>Social Networks</I> (2013). Volume 35, issue 4, pages 541-560.<P> We use laboratory experiments to investigate how employers develop social structures for sharing information about the trustworthiness of job candidates, when worker opportunism is...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255750
In this paper I determine the importance of adjustment costs in employers hiring decisions. Temporary work arrangements … and contract workers, which all have their specific effect on hiring and firing costs. Conjoint analysis on a sample of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256425
We investigate experimentally whether emotions affect bidding behavior in a firstprice auction. To induce emotions, we confront subjects after a first auction series with apositive or negative random economic shock. We then explore the relation between emotions andbidding behavior in a second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255774
of an organization. We argue that to further our understanding it should be understood in terms of human cognition of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257510
This discussion paper led to a publication in <A href="http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/46/4/875.short">'The Journal of Human Resources'</A>.<p>Anchoring vignettes are increasingly used to identify and correct heterogeneity in the reporting of health, work disability, life satisfaction, political efficacy, etc. with the aim of improving interpersonal...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256357
Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly explain heterogeneity in economic behaviour by education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011275101