Showing 1 - 10 of 19
market equilibrium and find that the average learning curve is S-shaped: learning is slow initially, intensifies rapidly and … finally converges slowly to the truth. We show that increasing public information always slows down learning in the long run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977935
from a VAR estimated on US data. The paper investigates whether introducing bounded rationality and learning generates … comparing the model with learning with a version that imposes rational expectations. Given that the asymptotic behavior of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069254
We study adoption of a costly new technology when the profitability of the new technique differs over individuals and there is uncertainty about these individual-specific differences. We establish that such individual-specific uncertainty results in a financing constraint when debt contracts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069329
We introduce learning based on genetic algorithms in a principal-agent model of optimal contracting under moral hazard … explore is to explicitly model the principal's learning process about the agent's preferences and the production technology … learning algorithms lead to convergence to the underlying optimal contract under full rationality as studied by the mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051212
This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090727
We consider a college admissions problem with uncertainty. We realistically assume that (i) students' college application choices are nontrivial because applications are costly, (ii) college rankings of students are noisy and thus uncertain at the time of application, and (iii) matching between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090730
In the canonical learning model, the multi-armed bandit with independent arms, a decision maker learns about the … interest, however, involve learning from individual experience and the experience of others. This paper shows how learning in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090737
In developing economies, substantial economic activity takes place in the informal labor market, beyond the reach of government policy. Labor market policies, which by definition apply only to the formal-sector labor market, then have important spillover effects. The relative sizes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069219
behavior and affect pricing strategies: beliefs, switching costs, experiential learning, and (ex-ante) mistakes in tariff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069234
Asset markets are characterized by slow booms and sudden crashes. Lending rates, for example, are more likely to experience big jumps rather than big drops. We focus on the comparison of this pattern across countries. First, we document that lending rates are more asymmetric on economies with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069288