1989 to 2000, and analyze the effect of the 1994 crisis modeled as an unexpected increase in the risk free rate. The model predicts: (i) a real exchange rate depreciation, (ii) an increase in the debt burden, (ii) a drop in output, (iii) a large decline in investment, (iv) an increase in...

Detrended Total Factor Productivity (TFP), net of changes in capital utilization, fell by 3.3% after the Korean 1997 financial crisis. We construct a small open economy model that accounts for 30.0% of the fall in response to a sudden stop of capital inflows and an increase in international...