I study monetary and fiscal policy in liquidity trap scenario, where the zero bound on the nominal interest rate is initially binding. I adopt a continuous-time formulation of the standard New Keynesian model, which allows for an intuitive, graphical analysis and produces some novel results....

This paper develops an elementary theory of global supply chains. In spite of its simplicity, our theory is consistent with a number of stylized facts and able to deliver a rich set of predictions regarding how vertical specialization shapes the interdependence of nations. Among other things,...

We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations with two basic ingredients: agents form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information; these anticipations affect spending and output in the short run. Our objective is to separate fluctuations due to actual changes...

We use a model a la Bewly-Huggett-Ayagari to explore the effects of a credit crunch on consumer spending. Households borrow and lend to smooth idiosyncratic income shocks facing an exogenous borrowing constraint. We look at the economy response after an unexpected permananent tightening of this...