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The economics of peace and war in the Chinese military classics

McCaffrey, Matthew - In: The Economics of peace and security journal : Eps journal 10 (2015) 1, pp. 23-31

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529313

Devadas, Sharmila; Elbadawi, Ibrahim; Loayza, Norman - 2019

of war; 2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth in terms physical capital, labor force, human … capital, and productivity; and 3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Estimates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113903

Growth and risk : a view from international trade

Krishna, Pravin; Levchenko, Andrei A.; Maloney, William F. - 2020

This paper studies the cross-country patterns of risky innovation and growth through the lens of international trade. It uses a simple theoretical framework of risky quality upgrading by firms under varying levels of financial development to derive two predictions. First, the mean rate of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257050

Prospects, risks, and vulnerabilities in emerging and developing economies : lessons from the past decade

Ruch, Franz Ulrich - 2020

Growth in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) has generally disappointed since the 2009 global recession, with sizable forecast downgrades in most years. EMDEs continue to face downside risks to growth outlook over the next couple of years. These include heightened global policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230795

Policy uncertainty, trade, and global value chains : some facts, many questions

Constantinescu, Cristina; Mattoo, Aaditya; Ruta, Michele - 2019

-2018 may have caused a 1 percentage point decline in world trade growth. The paper also finds that the impact of policy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167789

Myanmar Economic Monitor, May 2018 : Growth Amidst Uncertainty

World Bank Group - 2018

Myanmar's economy performed better in 2017/18 with a modest growth acceleration that partially reversed the deterioration experienced in 2016/17. While the outlook remains positive, risks have intensified. The economy experienced a broad-based increase in real GDP growth to 6.4 percent in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012645306

Assessing Forecast Uncertainty : An Information Bayesian Approach

Mendez-Ramos, Fabian - 2017

and skewness of world gross domestic product growth are associated with ex-ante information of four risk factors: term … methodology also decomposes the variance and skewness of the predictive distribution accounting for the shares of selected risk … application to forecast world gross domestic product growth is used to test the Bayesian entropy methodology. Predictive variance …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245794

Arms and influence

Schelling, Thomas C. - 1976 - 10. printing

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000033234

How much does reducing inequality matter for global poverty?

Lakner, Christoph; Mahler, Daniel Gerszon; Negre, Mario; … - 2019

countries comprising 97 percent of the world's population, this paper simulates a set of scenarios for global poverty from 2018 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051829

Does rainfall matter for economic growth? : evidence from global sub-national data (1990-2014)

Damania, Richard; Desbureaux, Sébastien; Zaveri, Esha - 2019

Much micro-econometric evidence suggests that precipitation has wide ranging impacts on vital economic indicators such as agricultural yields, human capital, and even conflict. And yet paradoxically most macro-econometric evidence (especially in the climate economy literature) finds that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051944