Many researchers are interested in making predictions for macroeconomic variables, but few of them studied the accuracy of their forecasts. The problem is essential, especially in crisis periods, because from many forecasts made for the same indicator only one or few are the most accurate. In...

In this article, we proposed the introduction in literature of a new source of uncertainty in modeling and forecasting: the indicators’ inadequacy. Even if it was observed, a specific nominalization in the context of forecasting procedure has not been done yet. The inadequacy of indicators as...

In this study, transformations of SPF inflation forecasts were made in order to get more accurate predictions. The filters application and Holt Winters technique were chosen as possible strategies of improving the predictions accuracy. The quarterly inflation rate forecasts (1975 Q1-2012 Q3) of...