It is shown that it is theoretically infeasible for multi-year rollover hedge-to-arrive contracts, and for rollover hedges in general, to succeed at locking in high current prices for crops to be harvested one or more years into the future. The study utilizes 107 years of data to present strong...

Economists have proposed several plausible explanations for observed price transmission asymmetries in commodity markets. Unfortunately, the econometric methods commonly used in such studies cannot empirically distinguish pricing behavior under the competing theories. We argue that the theories...

We examine the incentives of atomistic producers to differentiate and collectively market products. We analyze market and welfare effects of alternative producer organizations, discuss circumstances under which they will evolve, and describe implications for the ongoing debate between the EU and...

The present study investigates whether the farmland “constant-discount-rate present-value-model (CDR-PVM) puzzle” is due to transaction costs. The theoretical implications of transaction costs for the CDR-PVM of farmland are discussed, and two bootstrap tests of such implications are...

A dynamic three-commodity rational-expectations storage model is used to compare the impact of the Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act of 1996 with a free-market policy, and with pre-FAIR policies. Results suggest that FAIR did not lead to significant increases in long-run...

The welfare implications of intellectual property protection (IPP) for private sector agricultural research are analyzed, focusing on the realistic cases where countries provide different IPP levels, technology spills over across countries, and the public sector is involved in research. A model...

Simulations are used to analyze welfare and market- and farm-level effects of making futures available to producers of a storable commodity. Key features of the model are the explicit consideration of dynamic impacts due to inventories, and of aggregate market effects associated with futures...

Under realistic circumstances, forward-looking risk-averse firms will produce more than risk-neutral firms, and a mean-preserving spread of the price distribution will increase risk-averse firms' production. These results depend on firms realizing that prices of inputs required for production in...

For multiproduct firms, data on aggregate input usage are typically available but data on activity-specific inputs are not. The present study proposes a generalized cross-entropy approach to estimate activity-specific input allocations that are consistent with the aggregate information. The...