Divisia component data is used in the training of an Aggregate Feedforward Neural Network (AFFNN), a general-purpose connectionist system designed to assist with data mining activities. The neural network is able to learn the money-price relationship, defined as the relationships between the...

This work applies state-of-the-art artificial intelligence forecasting methods to provide new evidence of the comparative performance of statistically weighted Divisia indices vis-à-vis their simple sum counterparts in a simple inflation forecasting experiment. We develop a new approach that...

The purpose of this study is to contrast the forecasting performance of two non-linear models, a regime-switching vector autoregressive model (RS-VAR) and a recurrent neural network (RNN), to that of a linear benchmark VAR model. Our specific forecasting experiment is U.K. inflation and we...