Accidents forecast of various nature with sufficient economic damage, maximal loss enhancement, elimination of their consequences is a national wide problem It is an important concern of authorities and all levels management In order to solve this problem we need a forecast system for...

The article is devoted to the estimation of multivariate volatility of a portfolio consisted from twenty American stocks. The six specifications of multivariate volatility models are formulated and estimated. It’s demonstrated that spatial specifications of multivariate volatility models allow...

The comparative analysis of the stochastic frontier models is carried out. The model of the production potential of publications volume in dynamics and the one where a scientist’s experience has been taken into account are built. Estimates of the technical production efficiency of a scientist...

A method and results of economic efficiency estimation of advertisement activities carried out by a commercial bank are described. The main consideration is given to auto loans. The purpose of these activities is to increase consumer loans volumes. The resulted credit volumes are also estimated....

The research contains the estimation of Revealed Comparative Advantage indices for food exporters and structural shifts in the global composition of food trade. The finding about the income elasticity of consumption for imported food has been done on the basis of AIDS and QAIDS models. At the...

The paper is dedicated to the methodology of calculation, description of the properties and practical appliance of the realized volatility estimation, and its usage in the VaR calculation. The aim of the research is comparing of the realized volatility calculation methods, some of them are...

The paper develops volatility forecasting model for exchange rate RUR/USD. To forecast volatility we decompose it to components, characterizing fractal structure of financial time series. Using regression analysis we confirm quasi-cyclical time structure for one of the fractal parameter. We...

The choice and estimation of joint probability distribution function are key steps in portfolio optimization problem. As such distribution functions pair-copula constructions (PCC), or vine-copulae, on arbitrary R-vines are used. For the investor with exponential utility criterion the NYSE oil...

Results of econometric modeling of the Belarusian economy are presented in the article. The methodology of building macromodel for analysis and forecasting of main indicators is described. Estimations of the effects of a rise in oil and gas prices on the key economic indicators are given. The...

We present a simple hedonic model for apartment prices in Moscow in the year 2003. Based on some 15,000 observations we estimate the model and use the estimates for prediction. Pretest issues are explicitly taken into account.