In this study, we empirically attempt to investigate output growth forecasts as a result of dynamic interplay between money supplies and output growths of Southern African Common Monetary Area (SACMA) countries using Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). In general, the results show that the...

This paper uses continuous time series data from 1960 to 2011 to evaluate the contributions of foreign income to domestic macroeconomic stability. Foreign income is operationalized as income from major trading partners. Elasticity and absorption models are used to examine the effects of foreign...

In this paper, the twin deficits hypothesis was examined using the panel data of nine SEACEN countries. Empirical results provide evidence to support the view that Asian budget deficit causes current account deficit directly as well as indirectly. From policy perspectives, the statistical...

This paper argues that conventional tests of financial market integration may be misleading because they neglect to consider two important issues: (i) testing the existence of transaction costs and (ii) testing the existence of structural change. While the existence of transaction costs may...

How can monetary authorities determine whether the current account balance is problematic? One method is based on the intertemporal consumption-smoothing model. This paper applies the intertemporal consumption-smoothing model - which is used to derive the optimal current account - to Barbados,...

This paper considers the major determinants of the current account in Turkey. It examines the long-run and short-run impact of the exchange rate and private and public savings on the current account balance. The bounds testing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration is...

The purpose of this paper is to look at the ‘size-effect’ question using a large sample drawn from New York Stock Exchange prices. The impact of the stock returns' size is also examined and the validity of models explaining the observed negative relations between asset returns and inflation...

This paper assesses the presence of a causal relationship and the impact of budget deficits and investment spending on current account deficits using data for 20 OECD countries for the 1974-2008 period. The analysis adapts the Ganger causality technique to a panel data framework through the...

This paper offers a new insight into real exchange rate behaviour in Latin America. Using quarterly data over the sample period 1973Q2-2005Q4, the analysis indicates that the real exchange rates of Argentina, Brazil and Venezuala can be described as non-linear trend stationary processes. This...

The main objective of this paper is to assess how mutual information as a measure of global dependence between stock markets and macroeconomic factors can overcome some of the weaknesses of the traditional linear approaches commonly used in this context. One of the advantages of mutual...